| More and more lenders are discovering the
investment value of long-term fixed rate mortgage loans. By James Eibel, consulting manager, assistant vice president
"They call him
`broker because
after you deal with him, you are."
Anonymous
Historically, bankers have regarded long-term fixed rate
mortgages as forbidden fruit. Risk management concerns led many to sell high credit
quality mortgage loans into the secondary market. Recently, many financial institutions
have been reevaluating their long-held positions on fixed rate mortgages. As a result,
many have been adding fixed rate mortgages to their portfolios to increase earnings
without necessarily taking on more risk.
Lenders are discovering the investment value of the
long-term fixed rate mortgage loans they originate. This is evidenced by the 28.8%
reduction in mortgage loan sales to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae during the first half of
1997 (Inside Mortgage Finance, p.4). Historically, both agencies have relied on
their fixed rate mortgage
portfolios and lower capital standards to consistently
produce ROEs far above the majority of their clients.
Given the high profitability levels achieved by Freddie Mac
and Fannie Mae, it seems obvious that fixed rate mortgage portfolios can produce
consistent and attractive returns. Rather than sell these potentially valuable assets, it
makes sense for financial institutions to consider their contribution as a portfolio
asset.
Prior to constructing a fixed rate mortgage portfolio,
bankers must consider the risk/return goals for their institution. As with all investment
vehicles, there is a strong positive relationship between risk and return for loan
products. In competitive markets, higher yielding loans reflect a higher degree of
perceived riskiness. The best loans will ultimately find the best rates. While loans are
priced based on their specific risk characteristics, the decision of whether or not
to add fixed rate mortgages to a portfolio needs to be made based on the financial
institutions overall risk position. Three basic areas that must be considered
are credit risk, interest rate risk and liquidity risk.
Credit risk
Bad loans not only are a threat to earnings, they are the
single biggest risk to a financial institutions solvency. In general, mortgages have
little credit risk due to the high priority that home owners place on making timely
payments. The low credit risk of mortgages is evidenced by the 1995 loss experiences for
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac of only 5 and 10 basis points, respectively. These loss rates
contrast with the average guarantee fees charged for loan sales of 22 and 24 basis points,
respectively (Inside Mortgage Finance, p.3).
The low credit risk of mortgages is a primary reason for
their lower yields relative to higher credit risk loans, such as commercial and consumer
loans. From the regulatory risk-based perspective, mortgages only require half as much
capital as consumer and commercial loans. This lower capital requirement enables
institutions with a high concentration of mortgages to safely use a higher degree of
leverage than those with large commercial and consumer loan portfolios. Use of greater
leverage should enable lower yielding mortgage portfolios to produce ROEs consistent with
comparable risk consumer and commercial portfolios.
Interest rate risk
Interest rate risk management is the primary area of
concern with long-term fixed rate mortgage portfolios. The stable ROEs achieved by both
Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are proof that fixed rate mortgage interest rate risk can be
effectively managed. Members of the FHLBI have access to the same risk management tools
used by the agencies to manage their interest rate risk.
Some financial institutions, such as heavy commercial and
ARM lenders, have the natural capacity to hold long-term fixed rate mortgages. These
institutions net interest margins tend to increase when interest rates rise, and
decrease when interest rates fall due to their relatively short-term asset composition.
This interest rate sensitivity is exactly the opposite of a fixed rate mortgage. Thus, the
addition of a fixed rate mortgage portfolio can actually reduce overall interest rate risk
as well as generate additional earnings for asset sensitive institutions.
The majority of financial institutions do not possess the
capacity to add large amounts of fixed rate mortgages without increasing their interest
rate risk position. Usually, fixed rate mortgage portfolios need to be balanced either by
adding long-term liabilities or synthetically lengthening the current liability structure
with derivatives. The FHLBI can assist members in developing and executing strategies to
hedge the interest rate risk of fixed rate mortgage portfolios.
Liquidity risk
Financial institutions have both internal and external
sources of liquidity. Internal liquidity primarily consists of assets, such as securities,
which can be quickly sold at or near market value to raise cash. External liquidity
consists of unutilized borrowing capacity, such as FHLBI borrowings, repo lines, and
brokered CDs.
In the past, financial institutions and regulators have
focused primarily on internal liquidity measures. Thus, replacing low yielding treasuries
with higher yielding mortgage loans would necessarily depress liquidity by a like amount.
The obvious problem with this approach is that it totally ignores the transactions
impact on external liquidity.
Mortgages are pledgable assets at the FHLBI. Under the
FHLBIs specific collateral agreement, up to 80% of a mortgages market value
can be borrowed. Replacing $1 of securities with mortgages would decrease internal
liquidity by $1, but increase external liquidity by $.80. Thus, every dollar of
securities swapped for mortgages decreases total liquidity by only $.20. For most
institutions, the increase in portfolio yield due to the trade would more than compensate
for the small decrease in overall liquidity.
Conclusion
The fact that more and more lenders are discovering (or
rediscovering) the investment value of long-term fixed rate mortgage loans is not
surprising. While they have long been stigmatized by negative press, fixed rate mortgages
represent a unique asset class that can add value to a financial institutions
overall portfolio. Rather than automatically selling these loans, it is prudent to
consider whether greater shareholder value can be created by retaining at least some of
them. After all, if Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae can consistently achieve ROEs in excess of
20% by purchasing and portfolioing long-term fixed rate loans, it would appear that a
great opportunity is foregone by the sale.
Source: Inside Mortgage Finance, July 5, 1997, pp.
3-6.
This article has been presented for
educational purposes only. The FHLBI is not a financial or investment advisor.
It is solely the reader's responsibility to evaluate the risk and merits of any
funding strategy or business proposal.
Copyright 1997, Federal Home Loan
Bank of Indianapolis.
|